Working Papers/Under Editorial Review

140. Ference, M. & Dawes, R.M. Temperature forecasts, ever so slightly nonregressive.

251 Swets, J. A., Dawes, R. M. & Monahan J. Improving Diagnostic Decisions.

Reprints

In press

222 Dawes, R.M. Amos Tversky. Encyclopedia of Psychology.

247 Dawes, R.M. Clinical versus actuarial prediction. International Encyclopedia of Social Science.

221 Dawes, R.M. Clyde H. Coombs. Encyclopedia of Psychology.

340. Dawes, R.M. (in press). Explaining apparent altruism in terms of egoistic incentives: Not so fast, please. In R. Suleiman, D. Budesco, I. Fischer, and D. Messick, (Eds.), Contemporary Psychological Research on Social Dilemmas.

246 Dawes, R.M. Problems of probabilistic thinking. International Encyclopedia of Social Science

245 Dawes, R. M., & Messick D. M. Social Dilemmas. In International Journal of Psychology. (Special issue on diplomacy and psychology).

2002

339. Dawes, R.M. (2002, September). The ethics of using or not using statistical prediction rules in psychological practice and related consulting activities. Philosophy of Science, 69.

338. Dawes, R.M., Faust, D., & Meehl, P.E. (1989). Clinical versus actuarial judgment. Science, 243, 1668-1674. Reprinted in T. Gilovich, D. Griffin, & D. Kahneman (Eds.), Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment, 40, 2002, Cambridge University Press, 716-729.

2001

337. Dawes, R.M. (2001). Clinical versus actuarial prediction, International Encyclopedia of Social and Behavioral Sciences. In Neil J. Smelser & Paul B. Baltes (Eds.), International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences, 3 (pp. 2048-2051). New York: Elsevier.

336. Dawes, R.M. (2001). Problems of probabilistic thinking. In Neil J. Smelser & Paul B. Baltes (Eds.), International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences, 18 (pp. 12082-12089). New York: Elsevier.

335. Dawes,, R.M. (2001). Incremental validity of the ego impairment index: It's fine when it's there. Psychological Assessment, 13(3),408-409.

334. Dawes, R.M. (2001). A terrible way of selecting people, but other methods are worse. European Business Forum, 6, 22-24.

2000

333. Dawes, R.M. (2000). Clyde H. Coombs. APA-OUP, Encyclopedia of Psychology, 2, 295-296.

332. Dawes, R.M. (2000). Amos Tversky. APA-OUP, Encyclopedia of Psychology, 8, 127-128.

331. Dawes, R.M. (2000). Proper and improper linear models. In Judgment and Decision Making :An Interdisciplinary Reader, Second Edition, 378-394.

330. Dawes, R.M., & Messick, D.M. (2000). Social dilemmas. In International Journal of Psychology: Special Issue on Diplomacy and Psychology, 35(2), 111-116.

329. Dawes, R.M. (2000). A theory of irrationality as a “reasonable” response to an incomplete specification. Synthese, 122, 133-163.

328. Fischhoff, B., Parker, A., Downs, J., Palmgren, C., & Dawes, R.M. (2000). Teen expectations for significant life events, Public Opinion Quarterly, 64, 1-26.

327. Swets, J.A., Dawes, R.M., & Monahan, J. (2000). Better decisions through science, Scientific American, 283(4), 70-75.

326. Swets, J.A., Dawes, R.M., & Monahan, J. (2000). Psychological science can improve diagnostic decisions. Psychological Sciences in the Public Interest (a supplement to Psychological Science), 1(1).

1999

231 Dawes, R.M. (1999). A message from psychologists to economists: Mere predictability doesn't matter like it should (without a good story appended to it). Journal of Economic Behavior and Organizations, 39, 29-40.

271 Dawes, R.M. (1999). Experimental demand, clear incentives, both, or neither? In D. Budescu, I. Erev, & R. Zwick (Eds.), Games and human behavior (pp. 21-28).

325. Dawes, R.M. (1999). Two methods for studying the incremental validity of a Rorschach variable. Psychological Assessment, 11(3), 297-302.

202 Mulford, M. & Dawes, R.M. (1999). Subadditivity in memory for personal events. Psychological Science, 10, 47-51.

271 Sieff, E.M., Dawes, R.M. & Loewenstein, G. (1999). Anticipated versus actual reaction to HIV test results. American Journal of Psychology, 112(2), 297-311.

1998

131. Dawes, R.M. (1998). Behavioral decision making and judgment. In D. Gilbert, S. Fiske, & G. Lindzey (eds.), The handbook of social psychology, Vol 1. (pp. 497-538). Boston, MA: McGraw-Hill.

212 Dawes, R.M. (1998). How behavioral decision making principles can aid everyday decision making. Impuls, 2, 3-7.

193. Dawes, R.M. (1998). The social usefulness of self-esteem. Harvard Mental Health Letter, October, 4-5.